Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000101 0.000118 0.000137 0.000159 0.000182 0.000208
2025-01-19 0.000067 0.000088 0.000112 0.000142 0.000175 0.000213 0.000258
2025-01-26 0.000053 0.000076 0.000103 0.000137 0.000177 0.000224 0.000281
2025-02-02 0.000044 0.000068 0.000098 0.000137 0.000186 0.000242 0.000313
2025-02-09 0.000037 0.000062 0.000093 0.000136 0.000190 0.000255 0.000338
2025-02-16 0.000034 0.000059 0.000094 0.000141 0.000203 0.000278 0.000375
2025-02-23 0.000029 0.000055 0.000091 0.000142 0.000210 0.000294 0.000403
2025-03-02 0.000024 0.000048 0.000084 0.000137 0.000209 0.000299 0.000417
2025-03-09 0.000020 0.000044 0.000081 0.000135 0.000211 0.000308 0.000437
2025-03-16 0.000017 0.000041 0.000078 0.000135 0.000215 0.000320 0.000460
2025-03-23 0.000015 0.000038 0.000076 0.000136 0.000222 0.000334 0.000486
2025-03-30 0.000013 0.000035 0.000073 0.000135 0.000224 0.000343 0.000506
2025-04-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000069 0.000131 0.000224 0.000350 0.000524
2025-04-13 0.000009 0.000030 0.000069 0.000135 0.000235 0.000371 0.000561
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000026 0.000064 0.000131 0.000233 0.000375 0.000575
2025-04-27 0.000006 0.000024 0.000062 0.000131 0.000239 0.000389 0.000603
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000022 0.000060 0.000130 0.000242 0.000399 0.000625
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000022 0.000061 0.000135 0.000254 0.000422 0.000666
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000020 0.000060 0.000136 0.000260 0.000437 0.000694
2025-05-25 0.000002 0.000018 0.000056 0.000131 0.000256 0.000438 0.000705
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000016 0.000053 0.000129 0.000258 0.000446 0.000725
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000014 0.000051 0.000129 0.000261 0.000457 0.000748
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000014 0.000051 0.000130 0.000268 0.000472 0.000777